Developing a Winning CFD Trading Plan
Do you plan on winning? Then you need a CFD Trading Plan
Time Frame
The first step in developing your CFD Trading Plan is to decide on the time frame that you want
to trade. This includes the market that you are considering, be it shares, Contracts for Difference (CFDs),
Options, or futures, how long you intend to stay in a trade and how often you are going to monitor the trades.
Few people can monitor a trade all day every day, so trading intra day time frames on shares or
CFDs can be left to those traders that have the flexibility to do this. End of day would be the most common
timeframe chosen by traders, holding trades from a few days to a few months.
Those investing for income or long term growth would consider a timeframe of months to perhaps
years and could monitor the share on a weekly or monthly basis. The shorter the time frame the more risk in the
trade, the more decisions that a trader has to make and for a successful trader there will be greater returns.
Decide what works for your lifestyle and commitments before moving on to the next step.
Trade Selection
The next issue to address is which trade to enter. There are an infinite number of trade
opportunities and you have a finite amount of money. You can afford to be very selective. In fact, you cannot
afford to not be selective. The less experience you have the more selective you should be. The feeling of missing
something is one of the most common feelings new traders experience. It is very difficult to learn to just sit
there and wait for YOUR set-up to develop while the market is making all these nice swings and all those other
people are making money.
The task now is to identify two or three types of set-ups to add to your “watch list”. As a new
trader, always trade with the trend. Buy CFDs that are trending up as it is likely that they will continue. A car
traveling in one direction takes time to turn around to travel in the other direction.
A very useful exercise is to study stocks that have performed well in the past and identify
patterns or set-ups that occurred prior to the strong move. If you are a new trader, find just one or two set-up
conditions and learn those inside and out so that when you see them the response to place the trade is a reflex. If
you see a potential trade set-up and doubt/indecision begins to creep in, it means you have not done your homework
and were not prepared.
Another benefit of studying set-ups is to learn that the same set-ups occur over and over and
build the belief system necessary to have the unflinching confidence required to consistently take the trade set-up
when it appears. If you are having difficulty identifying these profitable set ups then follow an experienced
analyst until you can identify them.
Entry Techniques
When the conditions for a trade are met according to your plan, it is time to enter the market.
Always trade in the direction of the trend, even on entry, using a conditional order. Entering the market this way
is the most fundamentally sound approach to entering a trade. This is an entry done with the potential new trend,
not against the current market trend. Place an order above a resistance level to buy the share if it pushes higher.
You will not own the share if it does not break upwards and you will be on the stock when it does finally break
higher.
This approach to buying CFDs allows you to place a stop immediately below the resistance level
or the most recent low prior to the trade entry. In this manner, the initial risk of the trade can be determined
without guessing where to place a stop.
At this stage consider how much capital you are prepared to place onto the share. The amount of
money that you commit to the trade and the level of your initial stop will determine the money that you have at
risk on the trade.
Exiting the Trade
Now where, when, and how do we get out? In other words, what is the exit strategy? The first
order of business after a trade is entered is to immediately place a protective stop. Stops have the power to set
you free.
Decide where you must place your initial stop, this determines the initial risk when entering
the trade. You now know what your initial capital exposure is and because of this any trading surprises should be
positive. Use stops. You can always re-enter a trade. There is always another opportunity.
Yes, you will get stopped out dozens of times one tick from the reversal that lasts for days.
Big deal, learn to re-enter on another reversal or trend continuation set-up. It is a lot easier to get stopped and
have to re-enter than to blow out your account and wait another year to accumulate enough capital to start all
over. Ideal set-ups are a dime a dozen so always use stops.
Now we are in the trade and the initial protective stop is in place. What next? What to do next
depends on the expected outcome of the trade. When a trade goes right straight away, you can raise your stop to
break even. It is perfectly acceptable to leave the stop at the initial level, however it is better psychologically
to prevent a trade that is profitable from turning into a loss.
Adjust the stop at the first opportunity to break even to recoup the cost of brokerage. If you
are stopped out and have a problem getting back in the trade if the conditions remain valid, you need to work out
that problem if you are going to be successful.
When the trade is at or very near the target, it is definitely the time to bring stops close to
the share. If the target is reached follow the trade closely using a tighter stop to exit from the trade when the
share rolls over.
Conclusion and Review
Timeframes, Trade Selection, Entry Techniques and Exit Techniques are the basic elements that
each trader must address in developing a trade plan. If you do not have a trade plan, you now have a solid
guideline from which to start developing one. Below is a guide.
Timeframe:
I am going to trade end of day charts monitoring the share on a daily basis and staying in trades for a period of
days to weeks.
Trade Selection:
I am going to buy CFDs that have been trending up for two months or more. I will trade liquid CFDs that I can
easily buy and sell. I am looking for a minimum profit of 10% when the trade goes as planned. I will trade
ascending triangle breakouts confirmed by small green candles and increasing volume.
Entry signals:
I will only enter a trade if the CFD breaks through the resistance at the top of the ascending triangle. My order
will be a conditional buy order one cent above the resistance level. No volume trigger will be used.
Exit signals:
I will ALWAYS place an initial protective stop order as soon as my trade is triggered and I will NEVER move it away
after it is entered. My initial stop level will be below the resistance level above which I have placed the buy
order.
If the trade begins to do the unexpected such as not unfolding in the type of pattern
anticipated for the trend, I will tighten my stop to at least breakeven. Capital preservation and building trust in
myself are the most important objectives I can achieve at this stage in my development.
If you fail to plan, you can plan on failing.
Jeff Cartridge
LearnCFDs.com
Disclaimer: Trading Contracts for Difference carry risk
where you can lose more than what you start with. View our full disclaimer here.
Back to Top
|